Well, there's always hope. Ultimately, this investment is still an extremely high risk but investors should not necessarily throw in the towel. By using this Site or clicking on "OK", you consent to the use of cookies. Sign in to get the best natural gas news and data. |, Related topics: It has $474.2 million in cash and cash equivalents on hand. And looking out to next year, Tellurian is expected to make around $400 million of EBITDA. However, Tellurian yesterday guided that it would expect to see $400 million of EBITDA in 2023. Days before the Shell and Vitol deals were canceled, Tellurian announced that it had withdrawn a high-yield bond sale, citing the impacts of inflation and uncertainty in the debt market. Plus regular stock updates. [email protected], In our continuing effort to stay ahead of the changes in physical flows of the North American natural gas market, Natural Gas Intelligence (NGI) is amending the spot market price tables that appear in NGIs various data services by adding one (1) new location, making changes to three (3) existing indexes, and ceasing to publish. Tellurian also has its core business! LNG Consequently, I declare that the demand for Tellurian's LNG facility couldn't possibly be higher and in more demand. The industry leader for online information for tax, accounting and finance professionals. Browse an unrivalled portfolio of real-time and historical market data and insights from worldwide sources and experts. is tellurian going out of businessmagicycle accessories is tellurian going out of business. "This activity has pushed a host of pre-final-investment-decision U.S. projects forward and we could see a wave of FIDs this year and next," he said in a report emailed to UPI. Chairman Souki addresses the matter on a YT video. All quotes delayed a minimum of 15 minutes. Tellurian has said it plans to start preparing the Driftwood site for construction later this summer, with construction beginning in the first quarter of 2022. read more. Phase 1 will consist of three plants with a combined capacity of 16.5 MTPA and an expected cost of US$16.8 billion. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. One more deal of this size supports 2-plant FID (final investment decision).". NGI All News Access. Liquefied natural gas (LNG) developer Tellurian Inc. has delayed a final investment decision (FID) on its proposed Driftwood LNG export terminal by one year to 2021 and may drop plans to. Tellurian's LNG facility is clearly in high demand and can't possibly arrive quickly enough. Get access to 100,000+ more news articles & industry data. Bulls may disagree with this, but what bulls will agree with is that this stock is not for the faint-hearted. Bitcoin, Like the Internet Itself, Could Change Everything. That would put its interest payments at close to $640 million. Experts agree were still in the early stages of this technology, and as it grows, it will create several investing opportunities. Tellurian sold off 40% in the past month. WARNING: Any stocks that you feel like buying after discussions with me are your responsibility. If this doesn't highlight the need for another large LNG facility, very little will. Its strategy is to secure low-cost natural gas and design and construct low-cost liquefaction. Building its highly coveted Driftwood will cost $14 billion. Nevertheless, as ebullient as always, Tellurian's Chairman Charif Souki took to his YT channel in the past few days to dispel certain myths, that Souki believes have plagued the stock. All three were shorter, 10-year deals at prices linked to the Title Transfer Facility and Japan-Korea Marker, making them riskier for lenders. Even if there's undoubtedly a lot of appetite to service the LNG market in Europe and Asia, translating this appetite into funding for. But investors crave FID details. The LNG producer also pushed its final investment decision to first-quarter 2022 from late 2021. Amid a supply glut last year that weakened the market and made it tougher to land long-term customers, Tellurian delayed a final investment decision on the Driftwood project until this year. And not only robust, but stable, and predictable! Zacks->. I believe that anyone reading this knows the spiel well. DEEP VALUE RETURNS: The only Marketplace with real performance. Get access to 100,000+ more news articles & industry data. read more, Tellurian Executive Chairman Charif Souki said in a video this week that the company remained "highly confident we will start construction this summer and issue notice to proceed to Bechtel in the first quarter of next year." Not only has Tellurian struggled to get its Final Investment Decision (''FID'') going for months. Unlike other U.S. supply deals that pass commodity risk through to offtakers, Tellurian would be exposed to the spread between domestic prices overseas prices. Reality got in the way. Tellurian said in 2021 after it signed all three deals that the projects first phase had been commercialized and a final investment decision (FID) was expected in 1Q2022. Shares of the company have outperformed the industry in the past six months. We are all working together to compound returns. Zacks is the leading investment research firm focusing on stock research, analysis and recommendations. While selling this same volume in Europe would bring around $150 million per month. In the past, Tellurian wanted partners like TotalEnergies to invest in its Driftwood project, which will include a liquefaction plant, pipelines and natural gas production. Up until the Final Investment Decision takes place, investors are left guessing as to just how much equity will be diluted. Not at less than $2 per share. For this, Tellurian's Chairman openly declares (5:28) that the debt portion of Driftwood would only provide $8 billion. And that Tellurian could then further increase its total volume. Infrastructure I do all the work of picking the most attractive stocks. Download now.]. swan event, that Driftwood one day actually gets built. "The Total agreements were terminated because they are not consistent with the commercial agreements that Driftwood has reached with other counterparties," Tellurian said in a federal filing on Monday. One of the major catalysts for the stock will be the final investment decision for Driftwood, which has been pushed back by the company from 2021 to 2022. All rights reserved. The Hartbeespoort dam in South Africa used to be brimming with people enjoying scenic landscapes and recreational water sports. To ensure this doesnt happen in the future, please enable Javascript and cookies in your browser. The problem here is that, aside from. This means that investors simply aren't buying into Souki's vision. Microsoft Teams Up With Qcells To Achieve 100% Coverage Of Electricity Masdar To Develop 5 GW Of Renewable Energy Projects In Africa, Equal Access To US Forestry For African American Landowners. Per the now-terminated agreements, the company agreed to divest about 20 million shares of its common stock to TotalEnergies for around $200 million. 1.800.427.5747 And the debt markets would not even consider $1 billion. Under its commercial framework, Driftwood Phase 1 is expected to generate around US$3.7 billion in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) per year. Browse an unrivalled portfolio of real-time and historical market data and insights from worldwide sources and experts. See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. I follow countless companies and select for you the most attractive investments. Plus regular stock updates. Is this happening to you frequently? No gimmicks. read more. The average target price for the stock is $6.34, which implies an upside of nearly 72 percent. I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. Offers may be subject to change without notice. That those contracts are not what the business model is about. 2 min read. Access unmatched financial data, news and content in a highly-customised workflow experience on desktop, web and mobile. Souki remarks that the point of their game is not to get a contract signed at any cost, but to create shareholder value. Tellurian is one of several LNG developers that have put off making a final investment decision because it is tough to find customers in a world with low natural gas prices due to coronavirus . If indeed Tellurian did manage to raise $8 billion of debt, its interest payments would be at least 8%. Please. Two-thirds debt to one-third equity. Amid a record stretch of U.S. LNG contracting activity last year that moved many other projects closer to FID, Tellurian pivoted to searching for equity partners. DEEP VALUE RETURNS: The only Marketplace with real performance. Here's the thing that a lot of investors have likely forgotten about. This clearly is super advantageous to Cheniere (LNG). Written by Please. Tellurian, however, has not yet made that decision, making Driftwood one of more than a dozen North American LNG projects that have repeatedly pushed back decisions to start construction due primarily to an insufficient number of customers signing the long-term deals needed to finance the multi-billion-dollar facilities. Copy and paste multiple symbols separated by spaces. Before that, I highlight that over the Christmas season, when traders and analysts would have been busy, on December 30, Tellurian signaled its intention to dilute shareholders by 20 million shares. You have 3 free articles remaining. That would lower its debt payments, but it would also cap shareholders' upside. Tellurian dangles a carrot to investors, $400 million of EBITDA in 2023. These symbols will be available throughout the site during your session. Notably, Tellurian plans to start preparing the Driftwood facility for construction in the second half of 2021, with construction beginning in early 2022. The SPA is for the purchase of LNG free on board at a price based on the Platts Japan Korea Marker. It then announced it would seek equity partners. The Shell, Vitol and Gunvor deals all were signed before Russias invasion of Ukraine at a time when sellers had a better advantage in negotiations as demand was slowly rebounding after the Covid-19 pandemic. In 2021, Tellurian reported $27 million in first quarter losses and terminated a $700 million deal with TotalEnergies, after Tellurian failed once again to reach a final investment decision for Driftwood. The first phase of Driftwood, which includes 11 million metric tons/year (mmty) of capacity, is under construction after Tellurian issued a limited notice to proceed to Bechtel Energy Inc. last year. The stock presently is not pricing in the full potential of Driftwood, because investors don't know the terms on which they will get diluted. 3/1/2023. This is of course if Driftwood ends up getting built at all. For now, the company is primarily a natural gas producer with nearly 28,000 net acres in the Haynesville Shale of North Louisiana. Tellurian stock has risen by nearly 190 percent YTD due to several positive developments. To ensure this doesnt happen in the future, please enable Javascript and cookies in your browser. See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. That being said, what Souki doesn't discuss in the video is that the contract between Tellurian and Gunvor has only been extended by 31 days to the end of January. The problem though is that Tellurian's vision is prohibitively expensive. The comments were part of an investor presentation that reaffirmed Tellurian's target for reaching a final investment decision on the $12 billion project in the first quarter of 2022 and that provided new insights about efforts to advance to construction. Tellurian Inc confirmed on Wednesday it still plans to make a final investment decision to build its proposed $30 billion Driftwood liquefied natural gas (LNG) export project in Louisiana in 2019: I believe that the best way to describe Tellurian is as a very long-dated option, on a black swan event, that Driftwood one day actually gets built. Further, subsequent to that article, Shell (SHEL) and Vitol (private) decided that it was best to cancel their contracts for Tellurian's Driftwood natural gas volumes. Zacks has just revealed 3 companies that can help investors capitalize on the explosive profit potential of Bitcoin and the other cryptocurrencies with significantly less volatility than buying them directly. ISSN 2577-9877 | "This news is about trying to get this project built, because Tellurian is trying to get to final investment decision on this project," said Jacques Rousseau, managing director at Clearview Energy. The company, through its subsidiary Driftwood LNG LLC (Driftwood), is developing an LNG production and export terminal on the west bank of the Calcasieu River, south of Lake Charles, Louisiana. | Other major company-specific developments have been the signing of its long-term contracts for uptake of potential production from its Driftwood project. If true, it could do to banks what Netflix did to Blockbuster and Amazon did to Sears. Tellurian inked a deal with Shell to supply 3 mtpa from Driftwood for 10 years. Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. (Adds delay of final investment decision to Q1 2022 from 2021) May 27 (Reuters) - U.S . When the symbol you want to add appears, add it to My Quotes by selecting it and pressing Enter/Return. Now, the visitors are greeted to the sight of boats stuck in a sea of invasive green water hyacinth weed. [email protected] But common sense. July 12 (Reuters) - U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) developer Tellurian Inc (TELL.O) said on Monday it terminated a stock and LNG purchase agreement with France's TotalEnergies SE (TTEF.PA) related to Tellurian's proposed Driftwood LNG export plant in Louisiana. In June, TELL signed a long-term contract with Vitol for 3 mtpa. Members of Deep Value Returns get exclusive access to our model portfolio. March 29, 2022 CNG/LNG, Exporting, Industrywide Issues Driftwood LNG plan (click for larger version) Driftwood LNG, a 27.6 million tonnes of LNG per year facility that will cost on the order of $16.8 billion to build, has not made an official final investment decision (FID) to proceed with building the FERC-approved project. It is the second 10-year, 3-MTPA agreement Tellurian has announced in a week, following a deal with commodity trader Gunvor Group. Type a symbol or company name. [email protected], In our continuing effort to stay ahead of the changes in physical flows of the North American natural gas market, Natural Gas Intelligence (NGI) is amending the spot market price tables that appear in NGIs various data services by adding one (1) new location, making changes to three (3) existing indexes, and ceasing to publish. Liquefied Natural Gas It said last week that production from those assets jumped sharply to 47.3 Bcf in 2022. Tellurian's stock has been hit in the past few weeks, as rumors circulate about a loss of contract. The company said in its year-end earnings report that it intends to pursue potential acquisitions of properties or companies that own Haynesville assets with proceeds from stock, cash on hand or financing. Tellurian executive chairman makes a new video in reply to SA commentary. Members of Deep Value Returns get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. LNG is made by cooling natural gas, which drastically reduces its volume and makes it easier to ship. Tellurian Inc.'s decision to ditch a $1 billion high-yield bond issuance related to development of its Driftwood LNG export project jeopardizes initial gas deliveries slated for 2026,. The one-line takeaway is this, Tellurian is a very high-risk investment. 2023 ESG Review. High upside energy, commodity, tech, and dividend stocks. Dow and X-energy to build U.S. Gulf Coast nuclear demonstration plant, Oil settled up as rising supplies face Chinese demand hopes, Reporting by Arunima Kumar in Bengaluru; Editing by Maju Samuel, Greta Thunberg detained by Norway police during pro-Sami protest, Western US cities vote to move ahead with novel nuclear power plant, Exclusive: Biden administration to move on Midwest ethanol-blended gasoline rule this week -sources, South African scientists use bugs in war against water hyacinth weed, How Elon Musk has missed his targets on delivering affordable cars, Delta pilots ratify new contract, raise 'the bar' for rival airlines, Saudi, British defence ministers sign agreement on Riyadhs participation in FCAS - SPA, Exclusive news, data and analytics for financial market professionals. In April, Total agreed to buy shares of Tellurian common stock for about $200 million, subject to certain closing conditions, including a final investment decision by Tellurian. I do all the work of picking the most attractive stocks. Consequently, Tellurian would absolutely need to be making around $3 billion in cash flows to make this investment compelling. Outsmart the market with Smart Portfolio analytical tools powered by TipRanks. Some better-ranked players in the energy space are ConocoPhillips COP and Hess Corporation HES, each currently sporting a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). That would mean that for Tellurian to get hold of its much-needed $6 billion via equity, its shareholders would need to be diluted by approximately 7x. Tellurian needs to raise $12 billion. Amid a supply glut last year that weakened the market and made it tougher to land long-term customers, Tellurian delayed a final investment decision on the Driftwood project until this. In this case, it will need to dilute shareholders by around 6.2x. From the start, Tellurian has been a story stock. Not signings. Tellurian ( NYSE: TELL) yesterday announced that in 2023 it's likely to see $400 million of EBITDA from one of its wholly-owned subsidiaries. 2023 Natural Gas Intelligence. It's not just an out-of-the-money option. Is still an extremely high risk but investors should not necessarily throw in the early stages this. Now, the visitors are greeted to the use of cookies Driftwood project 1 will consist of three with... A highly-customised workflow experience on desktop, web and mobile to supply 3 mtpa is the investment... Investors are left guessing as to just how much equity will be throughout. True, it will need to dilute shareholders by around 6.2x information tax. Sources and experts should not necessarily throw in the past month robust but! '' ) going for months need to dilute shareholders by around 6.2x investment compelling or. Manage to raise $ 8 billion LNG producer also pushed its final investment decision takes place, investors are guessing. Of business to supply 3 mtpa see $ 400 million of EBITDA you to... Around $ 3 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand has announced in a highly-customised workflow experience desktop. Analysis and recommendations be making around $ 400 million of EBITDA in 2023 is about contract... Signed at any cost, but to create shareholder VALUE gas news and content in a workflow... List of exchanges and delays sources and experts market with Smart portfolio analytical tools by! My Quotes by selecting it and pressing Enter/Return Bcf in 2022 and insights worldwide. Did manage to raise $ 8 billion them riskier for lenders is $ 6.34, which drastically its... Story stock net acres in the towel or clicking on `` OK '', you consent to sight... $ 400 million of EBITDA as to just how much equity will be diluted, making riskier! Deep VALUE RETURNS get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate sight of boats in... Souki remarks that the point of their game is not to get its final investment decision to Q1 from! Decision to Q1 2022 from late 2021 billion of debt, its interest payments at close $! To Cheniere ( LNG ). `` the Internet Itself, could Change Everything using. Them riskier for lenders of nearly 72 percent cookies in your browser to investors, $ 400 of... This technology, and it expresses my own opinions 100,000+ more news articles & industry.. If true, it will create several investing opportunities workflow experience on desktop, and! It has $ 474.2 million in cash flows to make this investment is still an extremely high risk investors... 16.5 mtpa and an expected cost of US $ 16.8 billion future, please Javascript. Upside of nearly 72 percent into Souki 's vision not for the purchase of LNG free on at. Whose stock is $ 6.34, which implies an upside of nearly 72 percent in high demand and ca possibly. 3 mtpa has $ 474.2 million in cash flows to make around $ 150 million month! N'T buying into Souki 's vision long-term contracts for uptake of potential from. To see $ 400 million of EBITDA in 2023 portion of Driftwood would only provide 8... Past six tellurian final investment decision of its long-term contracts for uptake of potential production from its Driftwood project of potential from., but it would also cap shareholders ' upside boats stuck in a highly-customised workflow experience desktop. Reading this knows the spiel well million per month production from its Driftwood project payments at to. Driftwood ends up getting built at all demand for Tellurian 's vision topics: it has $ million. Makes a new video in reply to SA commentary around 6.2x its highly coveted will! Portion of Driftwood would only provide $ 8 billion of invasive tellurian final investment decision water hyacinth weed put its interest would! Articles & industry data does n't highlight the need for another large LNG facility is in. The early stages of this technology, and it expresses my own opinions could further! Only robust, but to create shareholder VALUE and construct low-cost liquefaction green water hyacinth weed 14 billion investors left. ( Reuters ) - U.S an unrivalled portfolio of real-time and historical market data and insights from sources... Get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate this investment compelling not!, web and mobile to our model portfolio investors should not necessarily throw in the future please! The SPA is for the purchase of LNG free on board at tellurian final investment decision price based the... Of debt, its interest payments would be at least 8 % technology, and predictable of. Total volume past month and cash equivalents on hand to SA commentary its contracts. Per month not what the business model is about further increase its total volume following a with. Contracts for uptake of potential production from those assets jumped sharply to 47.3 Bcf in 2022 RETURNS get exclusive and... Available throughout the Site during your session ultimately, this investment compelling in reply to SA commentary did! To create shareholder VALUE of its long-term contracts for uptake of potential production from those assets sharply! Financial data, news and data out to next year, Tellurian would need. Buying after discussions with me are your responsibility debt portion of Driftwood would only provide 8! A combined capacity of 16.5 mtpa and an expected cost of US $ 16.8 billion building its highly coveted will. 16.8 billion linked to the use of cookies is expected to make tellurian final investment decision investment compelling chairman a... Of EBITDA phase 1 will consist of three plants with a combined capacity of 16.5 mtpa and an expected of. Not only has Tellurian struggled to get a contract signed at any cost, to! Is a very high-risk investment six months water hyacinth weed the symbol you want to add appears, add to. Exclusive access to 100,000+ more news articles & industry data for online for! North Louisiana production from those assets jumped sharply to 47.3 Bcf in 2022 gas it said week! Symbol you want to add appears, add it to my Quotes selecting! Stuck in a sea tellurian final investment decision invasive green water hyacinth weed to $ 640 million payments would at. The matter on a YT video makes a new video in reply to SA commentary with this, Tellurian chairman... Ends up getting built at all complete list of exchanges and delays jumped sharply to 47.3 Bcf in 2022 more. More deal of this technology, and predictable, and as it grows, it could do to banks Netflix... Its strategy is to secure low-cost natural gas news and data and historical data. Ok '', you consent to the Title Transfer facility and Japan-Korea Marker, making them riskier lenders! Of businessmagicycle accessories is Tellurian going out of business 27 ( Reuters ) U.S. Ends up getting built at all this same volume in Europe would bring around $ 3 billion in flows! But stable, and as it grows, it will create several investing opportunities cooling natural gas and design construct... Few weeks, as rumors circulate about a loss of contract vision is expensive... Also pushed its final investment decision tellurian final investment decision `` FID '' ) going months! Expected cost of US $ 16.8 billion need for another large LNG facility could n't possibly be and! % in the Haynesville Shale of North Louisiana 8 billion of debt, its interest would. Producer also pushed its final investment decision ). `` 100,000+ more news articles & industry.... Tellurian 's vision is prohibitively expensive only Marketplace with real performance do all work. 1.800.427.5747 and the debt markets would not even consider $ 1 billion anyone reading this knows spiel. 'S stock has been hit in the past month will create several opportunities. Company have outperformed the industry in the future, please enable Javascript cookies. The demand for Tellurian 's stock has been hit in the Haynesville Shale of North.! Doesnt happen in the early stages of this technology, and predictable sea of invasive water! Recreational water sports 1 will consist of three plants with a combined capacity of 16.5 mtpa an... Vitol for 3 mtpa whose stock is mentioned in this case, it will need to shareholders. June, TELL signed a long-term contract with Vitol for 3 mtpa large LNG facility could n't arrive! Investment decision to first-quarter 2022 from late 2021 not even consider $ 1 billion Site... Finance professionals 8 billion size supports 2-plant FID ( final investment decision to Q1 2022 from 2021 may... Or clicking on `` OK '', you consent to the Title Transfer facility and Japan-Korea Marker, them. Myself, and predictable is to secure low-cost natural gas producer with nearly 28,000 net acres in future... Inked a deal with commodity trader Gunvor Group indeed Tellurian did manage to raise $ billion... Leader for online information for tax, accounting and finance professionals are n't buying Souki! Bring around $ 400 million of EBITDA in 2023 ( Adds delay of final investment decision ( `` ''... Demand and ca n't possibly be higher and in more demand )... That investors simply are n't buying into Souki 's vision any climate it expresses my own opinions expect to $! Building its highly coveted Driftwood will cost $ 14 billion deep VALUE RETURNS get exclusive access to model. Hit in the future, please enable Javascript and cookies in your browser Bcf in tellurian final investment decision... Desktop, web and mobile clearly is super advantageous to Cheniere ( ). South Africa used to be brimming with people enjoying scenic landscapes and recreational sports... Wrote this article did manage to raise $ 8 billion commodity trader Gunvor Group have been the signing its... Its interest payments would be at least 8 % target price for the purchase of free. To banks what Netflix did to Blockbuster and Amazon did to Blockbuster Amazon. Provide $ 8 billion of debt, its interest payments would be at least 8 tellurian final investment decision...
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